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Nuclear Energy Intelligence

Mapping global nuclear exposure, supply-chain chokepoints, and the coming retirement cliff

status division Monarch Castle license

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Executive summary — The Nuclear Energy Intelligence Portal is an interactive geopolitical brief that maps the structural constraints governing the future of global zero-carbon baseload power. It serves energy strategists, policy analysts, and capital allocators by translating reactor fleets, fuel-cycle concentration, and heavy-manufacturing chokepoints into decision-grade visual intelligence — exposing where dependence, deficit, and demographic decay collide.

✨ Highlights

  • Exposure ranking array — ranks nations by absolute dependence on nuclear generation versus structural capacity, separating large grid-buffering fleets from single-site national single-points-of-failure.
  • Supply-chain chokepoint map — a dark, interactive geospatial view that toggles between operating reactors and the ultra-heavy forging nodes (Japan, China, Russia, France) that physically gate Gen-III+ construction.
  • Capital destruction tracker — a delay-versus-cost matrix visualizing the schedule and budget overruns endemic to Western greenfield reactor builds.
  • The retirement cliff — fleet age profiling that surfaces the medium-term baseload risk as the 1970s/1980s build cohorts approach their 60-year terminal limits.
  • Fuel-cycle concentration matrix — stage-by-stage breakdown of mining, conversion, and enrichment leadership, highlighting Russian dominance of the SWU bottleneck.
  • Regional target dossiers — focused deep dives, including the Akkuyu VVER build-out anchoring Türkiye's industrial energy future.
  • Methodology in the open — every assessment is framed by the Monarch Castle Tri-Color Severity Scale, exposed in an in-app methodology memo.

🖼️ Preview

🧭 What it does

The portal is a single-page analytical brief composed of linked intelligence modules. Each module reads a curated dataset and renders it through a purpose-built visualization rather than a generic chart.

  • Exposure Table — country-level nuclear share, active reactor count, and net capacity, ranked to distinguish dependence from scale.
  • Interactive Map — a label-stripped dark Leaflet map plotting reactor sites and, on toggle, the ultra-heavy forging and fuel-cycle chokepoints that constrain new build.
  • Capital Scatterplot — plots project cost against schedule delay to make Western greenfield cost-overrun patterns legible at a glance.
  • Fuel Cycle Matrix — decomposes the front end of the fuel cycle (mining → conversion → enrichment) into per-stage market leadership.
  • Retirement Cliff Chart — age-profiles the operating fleet to expose the coming wave of terminal-limit retirements.
  • Türkiye Dossier — a regional strategic deep dive on the Akkuyu VVER program.
  • Featured Reports & Policy Memo — short narrative briefs and a methodology modal explaining the assessment framework.

🗂️ Data & provenance

Per Monarch Castle doctrine — evidence before assertion. The portal is driven by versioned, analyst-curated reference datasets committed in-repo under src/data/, so every figure on screen is traceable to a specific record in source control:

Dataset Records Key fields
exposure.json National nuclear dependence countryName, nuclearSharePct, activeReactorCount, activeNetCapacityMw
reactors.json Reactor sites & units location, lat/lng, capacityMw, gridShare, buildYear, capitalCostBillion, delayYears, supplyChainRisk, capacityHistory
chokepoints.json Heavy-forging / fuel-cycle nodes name, country, lat/lng, status, type, description
uranium_cycle.json Fuel-cycle stages process, unit, per-stage leaders[] with sharePct

Assessment methodology. Industrial processes are scored against the Monarch Castle Tri-Color Severity ScaleIMPOSSIBLE / EXTREMELY DIFFICULT / RESTRICTED — derived from historical permitting success rates, litigation velocity, and capital-formation requirements under modern Western regulatory regimes. The framework is documented in the in-app Intelligence Methodology memo.

Provenance roadmap. The current datasets are point-in-time snapshots curated by analysts. In line with house doctrine, each record should carry explicit source, source_url, collected_at, and method fields; extending the schemas with these provenance columns is the next planned hardening step.

🛠️ Tech stack

  • UI: React 19 + TypeScript 5.9 (strict)
  • Build / dev server: Vite 7 (fast HMR, optimized production bundling)
  • Geospatial: Leaflet + react-leaflet (dark, label-stripped interactive map)
  • Charts: Recharts (scatter plots, demographic bar charts)
  • Quality: ESLint 9 + typescript-eslint
  • Deploy: gh-pagesGitHub Pages (static hosting)

🚀 Getting started

Live brief: https://monarchcastletech.github.io/NuclearEnergyIntelligence/

Requires Node.js 18+ and npm.

# 1. Install dependencies
npm install

# 2. Run the dev server (http://localhost:5173)
npm run dev

# 3. Type-check + build a production bundle into /dist
npm run build

# 4. Preview the production build locally
npm run preview

# 5. Deploy the /dist bundle to GitHub Pages
npm run deploy

The compiled /dist folder is fully static and can be hosted on any CDN or object store to specification.

🧱 Part of Monarch Castle

A product of Energy Intelligence · Monarch Castle Technologies — an operating company of Monarch Castle Holdings. Sister companies: Monarch Castle Technologies · Strategic Data Company of Ankara

📜 License

See LICENSE. © 2026 Monarch Castle Holdings · Ankara, Türkiye.

🏰 Monarch Castle Holdings — turning open-source noise into lawful, verified, decision-grade intelligence.

Monarch Castle Technologies approved lockup

Interactive geopolitical intelligence brief mapping global nuclear exposure, supply-chain chokepoints, fuel-cycle concentration, and the coming reactor retirement cliff.

Lifecycle: Active

Repository status

Lifecycle: Active. The badge and this statement describe maintenance status, not service availability.

Public access

Open the published project

Screenshots

Nuclear Energy Intelligence repository preview

The preview is maintained as a repository asset; the live interface or generated output remains authoritative.

Data and methodology

These repository-specific sources define the methodology or provenance boundary. Source dates, transformation steps, and known gaps must travel with analytical outputs.

Update frequency

Research-release-driven; source dates must be reviewed before an updated build is published.

Quick start

npm ci
npm run dev

Run only in a trusted development environment and review repository-specific prerequisites before using networked or hardware features.

Architecture

  • src/ — repository-specific implementation, data, or configuration boundary.
  • public/ — repository-specific implementation, data, or configuration boundary.

Tests

npm run lint
npm run build

Provenance

Original software history is maintained in Git. External datasets, reports, trademarks, screenshots, and assets are not relicensed by this repository; see THIRD_PARTY_NOTICES.md before reuse.

Forecast limitations

This repository does not publish a guaranteed forecast. Any scenarios, scores, or forward-looking language are analytical aids, not facts or advice; review source dates and methodology before use.

Security

Do not publish vulnerabilities in an issue. Use GitHub's private vulnerability-reporting flow when available, or follow the organization security policy.

License

Original repository code and documentation are available under MIT; see LICENSE. That license does not override third-party terms documented in THIRD_PARTY_NOTICES.md.

Citation

Use the machine-readable CITATION.cff. Cite the specific commit and, for analytical use, record the data or model snapshot date.

Masterbrand endorsement

Nuclear Energy Intelligence is a Monarch Castle Technologies project. Part of Monarch Castle Technologies.

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Interactive geopolitical intelligence brief mapping global nuclear exposure, supply-chain chokepoints, fuel-cycle concentration, and the coming reactor retirement cliff.

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