Add SNAP release acceptance validation

packages/populace-build/src/populace/build/us/country_package.json

@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@
   "obbba_reforms.json",
   "puf_aggregate_record_disaggregation.json",
   "release_input_coverage_manifest.json",
+  "snap_fy2022_participation_rates.json",
   "soca_capital_gain_distribution_shares.json",
   "soi_baseline_levels.json",
   "source_stages.json",

packages/populace-build/src/populace/build/us/snap_fy2022_participation_rates.json

@@ -0,0 +1,72 @@
+{
+  "schema_version": 1,
+  "classification": "validation_reference",
+  "title": "Reaching Those in Need: Estimates of State SNAP Participation Rates in 2022",
+  "publisher": "USDA Food and Nutrition Service",
+  "landing_page": "https://www.fns.usda.gov/research/snap/state-participation-rates/2022",
+  "report": "https://www.fns.usda.gov/sites/default/files/resource-files/ear-snap-Reaching-Those-in-Need-2022.pdf",
+  "table": "Estimates of participation rates (percentage)",
+  "fiscal_year": 2022,
+  "measure": "share_of_eligible_people_participating_in_average_month",
+  "national_rate": 0.88,
+  "source_precision": "whole_percentage_point",
+  "caveats": [
+    "These eligible-person rates are an independent validator, not the FY2024 household-caseload seeding or calibration basis.",
+    "FNS estimates have substantial sampling and model uncertainty and are published as whole percentages.",
+    "FNS applies Federal income and resource rules and excludes people eligible solely through State categorical eligibility policies, so its eligibility denominator can differ from PolicyEngine current-law eligibility.",
+    "FNS caps estimates above 100 percent at 100 percent; a published value of 100 percent does not establish universal participation."
+  ],
+  "state_rates": {
+    "01": 0.90,
+    "02": 0.73,
+    "04": 0.77,
+    "05": 0.59,
+    "06": 0.81,
+    "08": 1.00,
+    "09": 0.98,
+    "10": 0.91,
+    "11": 1.00,
+    "12": 0.81,
+    "13": 0.92,
+    "15": 0.81,
+    "16": 0.73,
+    "17": 1.00,
+    "18": 0.89,
+    "19": 0.98,
+    "20": 0.79,
+    "21": 0.75,
+    "22": 0.99,
+    "23": 0.94,
+    "24": 0.85,
+    "25": 1.00,
+    "26": 1.00,
+    "27": 0.93,
+    "28": 0.74,
+    "29": 0.92,
+    "30": 0.75,
+    "31": 0.93,
+    "32": 0.98,
+    "33": 0.82,
+    "34": 0.91,
+    "35": 1.00,
+    "36": 0.91,
+    "37": 0.95,
+    "38": 0.81,
+    "39": 0.99,
+    "40": 0.98,
+    "41": 1.00,
+    "42": 1.00,
+    "44": 1.00,
+    "45": 0.76,
+    "46": 0.84,
+    "47": 0.84,
+    "48": 0.74,
+    "49": 0.76,
+    "50": 0.99,
+    "51": 0.83,
+    "53": 1.00,
+    "54": 0.98,
+    "55": 1.00,
+    "56": 0.63
+  }
+}

packages/populace-build/src/populace/build/us/target_parity_manifest.json

@@ -536,15 +536,7 @@
    }
   },
   "irs_soi.form_w2_social_security_tips": {
-   "status": "reviewed_exclusion",
-   "classification": "not_modeled",
-   "reason": "IRS W-2 Social Security tips \u2014 a real us-data target (PR #220) the model cannot yet satisfy: PolicyEngine-US produces a structural zero for tip_income in the populace base microdata (no tip source column), so the target is unsatisfiable until the tip-imputation source stage is ported.",
-   "evidence": "US_FISCAL_TARGET_SUPPORT_EXCLUSIONS entry irs_soi.ty2023.form_w2_social_security_tips.box_7_social_security_tips.return_count",
-   "fence": {
-    "origin": "us-data PR #220 (Impute tips, fixes #215)",
-    "purpose": "\"Proposals such as 'No Tax on Tips' require a clean tip_income field distinct from regular wages ... Tipped workers skew lower-income; omitting tips biases poverty, EITC/CTC, and payroll-tax results\" (issue #215)",
-    "verdict_basis": "deferred (not source-absent \u2014 the feed carries a tip amount): PolicyEngine-US yields a structural zero for tip_income in the populace base microdata (US_FISCAL_TARGET_SUPPORT_EXCLUSIONS), so the target is unsatisfiable until the SIPP/ORG tip-imputation source stage (us-data #220) is ported. Wiring it now would ship a 0-vs-target gap, not a fit."
-   }
+   "status": "compiled"
   },
   "irs_soi.historic_table_2": {
    "status": "compiled"

packages/populace-build/src/populace/build/us_runtime/fiscal_targets.py

@@ -562,11 +562,6 @@
         "support in the under-$1 AGI slice; this narrow offset-income cell needs "
         "richer state/tail support before it can be calibrated."
     ),
-    "irs_soi.ty2023.form_w2_social_security_tips.box_7_social_security_tips.return_count": (
-        "Current US support does not yet materialize a positive tip_income source "
-        "column; W-2 Social Security tip return counts need the SIPP/ORG tip "
-        "source stage wired into the fiscal refresh before calibration."
-    ),
     "hhs_acf_tanf.fy2024.cash_assistance.ar.basic_assistance_excluding_relative_foster_care_and_adoption_guardianship.all_funds": (
         "Current 2024 base microdata have zero positive TANF benefit support "
         "in Arkansas under PolicyEngine-US state TANF formulas."